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Peter Orszag's Ideas for One Nation, Two Deficits

Author: peteo3140@gmail.com

Orszag believes our nation is facing a "nasty" dual deficit problem.  He believes a job deficit is going to continue in the near future as well as a budget deficit in the long term. To deal with these issues Orszag proposes a compromise; extend the tax cuts from the Bush administration for another two years and then end them altogether.

This makes sense because over a long period of time the tax cuts are just not going to be affordable, but we can't end them right now due to the high rate of unemployment in the job market. Orszag says if we initiate high tax rates currently we are going to further depress consumer spending.  Also, losing consumer confidence in the bond market could be a problem and cause market sentiment to shift.

Orszag disagrees with both the progressives and the conservatives. The progressives hope to make tax cuts permanent, all but excluding the highest bracket of earners. Conservatives want to make tax cuts permanent, including the highest earners. However, Orszag says if we did either of those we would expand the nation deficit by more than $3 trillion just over the next ten years. It's going to be hard to even solve our budget issues over the next decade.

The economy needs a deficit reduction of about $200 to $400 billion a year by 2015, Orszag says. Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security will take responsibility for almost half the nation's spending by 2015. The other half of the budget is blamed on net interest and discretionary spending.

Peter Orszag proposes solutions to cut the deficit. One of the solutions is to establish a new source of revenue through increasing tax reform. This would provide the U.S. with hope to improve the tax code by leaning towards a consumption-based tax system.

Orszag also says that by extending the tax cuts for two years and then ending them doesn't require an affirmative vote, but instead happens by default. This would solve the nation's "medium-term" deficit problem by reducing it from $200 billion to $350 billion each year from 2015 to 2020. Middle class and lower class families will have less of a concern of higher tax rates if we continue to tackle this medium term issue.

Finally Orszag calls for the uniting of the Democrats and Republicans to fight this. Orszag wants us to continue the fight for tax cuts for an additional two years and then for the end of them in 2013.

Article Source: http://www.articlesbase.com/politics-articles/peter-orszags-ideas-for-one-nation-two-deficits-4155647.html

About the Author

Ron Thomas

How to Balance the Federal Budget & Eliminate Our National Debt Within 4 Years

Author: Erin Kent Magee

How to Balance the Federal Budget & Eliminate Our National Debt Within  4 Years

                                                Without Raising Taxes!


It is estimated that the top 1% of the US population, or 3,105,000 people, have an average

income of $1.1 million dollars a year. (Source: Department of Sociology, UC Santa Cruz,

January, 2011)

If we multiply $1.1 million ( $1,100,000 ) by 3,105,000, we come out with $3.4 trillion.

An adjusted tax rate of 25% will yield $1.7 trillion in revenues within 2 years and $3.4 trillion within the next 4 years, from just the wealthiest 1% of the US population.

Our national debt is now around $1.4 trillion. This will give us a surplus of $2 trillion over the four year period.

Our projected budget deficits for 2011 and 2012 will total $2.58 trillion, leaving us with a shortfall of $.58 trillion ( or, $580 billion ).

We're now talking billions, not trillions, which makes the numbers a lot more manageable. However, we are still faced with a deficit. To eliminate that deficit, we can either decrease spending or increase revenues.

Recently, the focus has been on spending cuts; but, wherever we look, we run the risk of cutting essential services. There has even been talk of drawing upon the Social Security Fund. However, this fund belongs to a separate trust and should not be considered a part of the federal budget.

How can we safely increase federal revenues? President Obama believes this can only be done through massive tax rate increases for those in the upper tax brackets, but history shows higher taxes lead to lower revenues. According to Dr. Daniel Mitchell of the Heritage Foundation:

"When tax rates are reduced, the economy's growth rate improves and living standards increase. Conversely, periods of higher tax rates are associated with sub par economic performance and stagnant tax revenues".

Dr. Mitchell proves his point through a review of historical cuts in the 20s, 60s and 80s.

The Tax Cuts of the 1920s

Tax rates were slashed dramatically during the 1920s, dropping from over 70 percent to less than 25 percent. What happened? Personal income tax revenues increased substantially during the 1920s, despite the reduction in rates. Revenues rose from $719 million in 1921 to $1164 million in 1928, an increase of more than 61 percent.

The Kennedy Tax Cuts

President Hoover dramatically increased tax rates in the 1930s and President Roosevelt compounded the damage by pushing marginal tax rates to more than 90 percent. Recognizing that high tax rates were hindering the economy, President Kennedy proposed across-the-board tax rate reductions that reduced the top tax rate from more than 90 percent down to 70 percent. What happened? Tax revenues climbed from $94 billion in 1961 to $153 billion in 1968, an increase of 62 percent (33 percent after adjusting for inflation).

The Reagan Tax Cuts

President Reagan proposed sweeping tax rate reductions during the 1980s. What happened? Total tax revenues climbed by 99.4 percent during the 1980s, and the results are even more impressive when looking at what happened to personal income tax revenues. Once the economy received an unambiguous tax cut in January 1983, income tax revenues climbed dramatically, increasing by more than 54 percent by 1989 (28 percent after adjusting for inflation).

Why do lower taxes lead to increased revenues? In short, more money is set aside by taxpayers at the upper income levels for savings and investment, which generates more taxable income. When rates are increased, these same taxpayers place more of their income in tax shelters, such as securities and foundations.

Thus, any attempt to increase revenues and eliminate debt through massive tax hikes would not be a wise course of action.

A better approach would be to increase revenues, without a tax rate increase. This can be done by addressing the Trade Deficit. The Trade Deficit can be offset by increasing our sales around the world, or increasing tariffs on imported goods.

From 2007 to 2010, our trade deficit with China, alone, was $1.26 trillion, nearly enough to pay off our entire national debt! Since our budgetary deficit can be offset through tax revenues, we can wipe out our national debt by eliminating the trade deficit between the U.S. and China; and, by increasing our export volume, this can be done within the next 4 years!

 

 

Article Source: http://www.articlesbase.com/politics-articles/how-to-balance-the-federal-budget-eliminate-our-national-debt-within-4-years-5016172.html

About the Author

Erin Kent Magee is a Veteran with 10 years of prior federal service.  He has worked for the Department of the Navy and Department of the Army; and, in 2010, he retired from the IRS.

On April 5th, he filed his Statement of Candidacy with the Federal Election Commission as the 1st Republican Presidential Candidate from the State of Florida.

He is bullish on America, and believes our current economic woes will be overcome through an increased volume of trade and private investment in emerging industries.

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